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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+1.08vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.11-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.10-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.58-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-0.98-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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2.03Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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2.82University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
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4.18University of British Columbia-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.77University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 35.8% | 33.2% | 21.6% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Paul Foley | 39.3% | 29.9% | 21.3% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kate Flanagan | 16.8% | 21.4% | 33.2% | 20.9% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Gutenbarg | 4.8% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 31.2% | 29.5% | 14.8% |
| Clara Reid | 1.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 19.2% | 32.9% | 33.7% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 27.0% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.