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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University1.87+0.09vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.11-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-0.98+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.58-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.10-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Western Washington University1.870.3%1st Place
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2.82University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
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2.03University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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5.07University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.77University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.21University of British Columbia-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 35.0% | 33.4% | 21.5% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Flanagan | 19.1% | 19.6% | 31.8% | 20.9% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| David Berry | 38.1% | 32.4% | 20.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 14.1% | 26.5% | 48.9% |
| Clara Reid | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 18.7% | 33.4% | 33.6% |
| Hannah Gutenbarg | 3.9% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 32.2% | 29.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.