Race 1A

saisa-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 27.8% 23.5% 20.3% 14.3% 8.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 25.4% 22.8% 19.4% 13.7% 10.0% 5.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 8.2% 10.2% 11.8% 14.4% 14.4% 13.6% 12.8% 9.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Jason D'Agostino 12.1% 11.9% 13.8% 16.3% 16.3% 12.7% 9.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Taylor Scheuermann 13.0% 14.3% 15.6% 16.5% 13.7% 12.2% 7.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
John Reddaway 2.9% 3.8% 4.6% 5.5% 9.1% 10.2% 13.0% 16.9% 15.1% 11.9% 7.0%
John Sipp 1.5% 3.1% 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 6.6% 9.7% 12.3% 17.6% 21.7% 19.0%
Benton Morton 3.0% 2.6% 3.3% 4.7% 6.2% 12.4% 12.2% 14.7% 14.7% 16.5% 9.7%
Edwin Strong 4.0% 4.9% 4.8% 7.2% 9.4% 14.0% 16.5% 14.4% 13.1% 7.6% 4.1%
Patrick Kopiwoda 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 3.7% 3.2% 6.5% 8.2% 12.5% 19.6% 41.1%
Cassie Todd 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 5.2% 5.7% 8.7% 13.2% 19.3% 20.4% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.