Race 2A

saisa-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jason D'Agostino 10.4% 14.1% 14.4% 15.1% 17.6% 13.6% 8.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
John Reddaway 3.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.5% 8.7% 10.3% 13.6% 17.8% 15.9% 12.3% 5.0%
Christopher Stocke 22.9% 21.7% 19.5% 14.4% 9.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Reynolds 29.3% 22.0% 18.2% 14.5% 9.1% 3.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 10.5% 11.1% 12.1% 12.2% 14.9% 14.2% 13.2% 6.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Taylor Scheuermann 12.8% 14.3% 13.9% 17.4% 14.5% 10.9% 7.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
John Sipp 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 7.4% 9.5% 11.2% 18.2% 21.4% 19.1%
Edwin Strong 3.5% 5.3% 5.9% 8.4% 9.0% 14.7% 14.2% 14.7% 12.5% 9.0% 2.8%
Patrick Kopiwoda 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 2.4% 2.0% 3.3% 4.8% 10.1% 11.4% 16.9% 45.5%
Cassie Todd 1.4% 1.8% 3.1% 2.4% 4.9% 6.4% 7.7% 14.1% 16.1% 22.8% 19.3%
Benton Morton 2.1% 3.5% 4.7% 4.9% 6.1% 8.8% 14.9% 14.7% 17.3% 15.1% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.