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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+4.15vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+5.13vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+3.30vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.38+0.83vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.07+0.01vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.17+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+1.88vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.12+0.14vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-2.64vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.48+0.88vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.09+2.79vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.83-2.74vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.27+0.30vs Predicted
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14Auburn University0.12-2.28vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.19-3.29vs Predicted
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16Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-4.93vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.01-1.83vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-0.46-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Jacksonville University2.1014.0%1st Place
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7.13University of South Florida1.606.7%1st Place
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6.3Jacksonville University1.558.9%1st Place
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4.83College of Charleston2.3815.3%1st Place
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5.01College of Charleston2.0713.1%1st Place
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7.7Eckerd College1.176.1%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida1.194.5%1st Place
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8.14North Carolina State University1.126.4%1st Place
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6.36Florida State University1.698.8%1st Place
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10.88Jacksonville University0.482.5%1st Place
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13.79Rollins College0.090.9%1st Place
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9.26University of Miami0.834.3%1st Place
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13.3Embry-Riddle University-0.271.5%1st Place
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11.72Auburn University0.122.1%1st Place
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11.71The Citadel0.192.0%1st Place
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11.07Palm Beach Atlantic University0.361.8%1st Place
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15.17Duke University-1.010.6%1st Place
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14.6University of Central Florida-0.460.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
| Nathan Long | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mason Howell | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 34.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.