Race 3A

saisa-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Stocke 23.9% 23.9% 16.5% 15.8% 11.2% 5.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 12.2% 13.3% 15.5% 18.3% 13.4% 11.7% 8.6% 4.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Taylor Scheuermann 12.0% 12.2% 15.0% 15.7% 16.5% 12.1% 8.8% 5.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Jake Reynolds 27.6% 24.3% 17.8% 14.8% 7.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 9.8% 11.1% 14.1% 11.6% 15.4% 11.9% 13.2% 7.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.1%
John Reddaway 3.3% 2.6% 5.4% 5.3% 7.2% 12.1% 14.2% 15.3% 16.0% 11.8% 6.8%
Edwin Strong 4.8% 4.4% 6.6% 7.7% 10.6% 14.7% 15.0% 15.2% 10.6% 6.8% 3.6%
John Sipp 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 4.6% 7.0% 10.5% 12.9% 16.8% 19.9% 20.6%
Cassie Todd 1.2% 2.9% 2.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.5% 7.6% 13.1% 16.5% 20.9% 23.2%
Benton Morton 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9% 6.4% 10.2% 12.7% 15.9% 18.1% 15.6% 8.2%
Patrick Kopiwoda 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.3% 5.7% 8.6% 13.4% 22.6% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.