Race 4A

saisa-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Stocke 22.4% 22.3% 19.9% 15.5% 10.0% 5.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jake Reynolds 29.8% 24.0% 18.3% 12.5% 8.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Scheuermann 11.1% 12.6% 16.0% 12.8% 14.6% 14.3% 10.2% 5.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 11.1% 12.7% 14.7% 14.2% 16.5% 12.5% 8.6% 6.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Benton Morton 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 6.2% 8.4% 10.6% 13.7% 16.4% 16.3% 14.8%
Ian Ikeda 9.9% 9.8% 11.5% 15.8% 14.2% 12.4% 11.4% 7.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.8%
Edwin Strong 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 9.3% 9.1% 13.1% 13.2% 15.4% 12.9% 8.1% 4.3%
John Reddaway 3.3% 3.5% 4.4% 5.7% 8.3% 11.7% 12.9% 14.8% 13.1% 13.5% 8.8%
John Lindahl 2.0% 3.3% 2.6% 3.1% 4.7% 6.9% 9.7% 13.9% 17.1% 18.0% 18.7%
Cassie Todd 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 3.4% 4.1% 5.6% 8.0% 11.3% 14.0% 21.0% 27.1%
John Sipp 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.8% 5.9% 9.9% 10.1% 16.4% 19.7% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.