Race 5A

saisa-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jason D'Agostino 11.2% 11.4% 17.1% 15.0% 16.2% 13.5% 8.4% 5.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 25.9% 23.9% 16.0% 14.1% 10.5% 6.2% 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Reynolds 26.6% 23.4% 20.6% 13.3% 8.5% 4.9% 2.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 8.3% 10.4% 10.7% 13.9% 15.9% 15.3% 13.5% 6.5% 4.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Benton Morton 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 5.0% 6.7% 8.4% 10.4% 16.0% 18.7% 15.8% 10.0%
John Reddaway 2.7% 3.3% 4.6% 6.2% 7.5% 11.0% 14.3% 17.5% 14.2% 12.4% 6.3%
Edwin Strong 5.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.9% 10.6% 12.8% 16.0% 15.0% 11.6% 7.2% 3.1%
Taylor Scheuermann 13.5% 14.8% 15.8% 15.9% 13.8% 9.8% 9.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Patrick Kopiwoda 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 3.2% 2.9% 4.4% 9.7% 11.1% 19.5% 44.1%
Alexander Katsis 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 4.1% 3.6% 7.2% 8.7% 13.1% 17.9% 21.6% 18.0%
Cassie Todd 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.5% 8.0% 9.7% 12.3% 18.3% 21.6% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.