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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.74vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+1.26vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.22vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.54-0.29vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.66+0.57vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.14+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee0.16-0.67vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.72-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-9.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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4.18Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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7.22Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.71Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.57Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.44North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Tennessee0.160.0%1st Place
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8.31Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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2.88University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 28.1% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 12.1% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 11.0% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
| Ian Ikeda | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Benton Morton | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 9.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 43.3% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 17.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 26.5% | 23.6% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.