Race 7A

saisa-conference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 29.5% 23.5% 19.0% 13.6% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 13.3% 13.6% 15.3% 15.3% 13.5% 11.7% 9.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Taylor Scheuermann 12.5% 11.4% 14.9% 16.8% 14.7% 11.2% 10.6% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
John Lindahl 1.3% 3.0% 2.7% 3.4% 4.6% 7.3% 8.0% 14.7% 17.3% 18.7% 19.0%
Ian Ikeda 11.1% 11.2% 11.8% 13.5% 14.7% 13.2% 10.5% 7.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Alexander Katsis 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 4.9% 5.4% 7.9% 10.4% 15.4% 19.8% 27.5%
Cassie Todd 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 2.0% 2.5% 6.8% 8.8% 11.6% 14.1% 18.3% 27.8%
Benjamin Mohney 18.5% 20.8% 17.1% 14.8% 11.5% 8.4% 5.0% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Reddaway 3.3% 4.2% 3.7% 5.7% 7.4% 10.2% 12.9% 14.4% 14.6% 15.1% 8.5%
Edwin Strong 4.8% 4.7% 5.7% 7.3% 10.5% 12.1% 13.0% 15.7% 12.5% 9.7% 4.0%
Benton Morton 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.3% 7.2% 9.6% 12.1% 12.9% 15.8% 15.7% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.