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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.18vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.51+5.68vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+7.41vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.24-1.11vs Predicted
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5Duke University1.19+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97-1.01vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70-3.48vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-2.04vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.87-3.82vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee0.13-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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7.68Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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2.89University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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6.37Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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3.52Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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5.96North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.18Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.67Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Tennessee0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 39.6% | 26.9% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 76.7% |
| Fernando Monllor | 21.9% | 26.2% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Laura Hernandez | 5.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 16.1% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hidley | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Yapp | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 35.4% | 11.7% |
| Christopher Haseler | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 22.3% | 26.4% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.