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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.19vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.24-0.11vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.51+3.79vs Predicted
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5Duke University1.19+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+4.42vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.97-2.25vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee0.13-0.69vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.87-4.96vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.64Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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2.89University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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7.79Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
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6.38Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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10.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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5.97North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Tennessee0.130.0%1st Place
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5.04Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.63Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 38.3% | 28.5% | 18.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 14.6% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 21.8% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 24.1% | 17.0% | 4.3% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 73.7% |
| Laura Hernandez | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Haseler | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 26.8% | 9.2% |
| Peter Hidley | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Yapp | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 31.7% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.