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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.24+0.79vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.97+1.06vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.87+0.06vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.38+0.07vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+1.55vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.19-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee0.13-0.69vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.51-2.44vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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2.79University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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3.76Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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5.06Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.07North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.55Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.28Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Tennessee0.130.0%1st Place
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7.56Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 39.0% | 28.1% | 18.6% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 25.0% | 26.3% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 12.5% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hernandez | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hidley | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| David Rogers | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Yapp | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 33.6% | 11.2% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Haseler | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 26.0% | 9.5% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 3.6% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 12.2% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.