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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.24+0.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73-0.81vs Predicted
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4Duke University1.19+2.59vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.38+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97-1.09vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+1.58vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.51-0.45vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.87-3.83vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee0.13-1.82vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida3.240.3%1st Place
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2.19College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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6.59Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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6.02North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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8.58Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.55Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.17Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Tennessee0.130.0%1st Place
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10.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 13.1% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 26.0% | 24.9% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 37.8% | 28.3% | 18.6% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| David Rogers | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hernandez | 6.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Yapp | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 21.9% | 32.3% | 12.1% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 3.5% |
| Peter Hidley | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Haseler | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 23.0% | 25.2% | 7.8% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.