Race 5B

saisa-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Davidson 38.3% 28.6% 18.5% 10.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 24.6% 26.2% 19.5% 14.5% 8.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Rogers 4.3% 3.8% 6.2% 8.5% 12.0% 16.8% 16.7% 16.7% 10.1% 4.4% 0.5%
Peter Hidley 5.6% 6.3% 9.7% 13.4% 19.4% 14.7% 16.6% 8.4% 4.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Timothy Siemers 13.6% 16.9% 21.1% 18.0% 13.3% 10.2% 3.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Miao 2.8% 4.1% 5.0% 7.6% 12.5% 14.2% 17.5% 16.9% 11.6% 6.5% 1.3%
Meredith Rutledge 1.6% 3.8% 2.8% 3.8% 6.0% 10.3% 13.1% 18.5% 21.0% 16.1% 3.0%
Laura Hernandez 6.9% 8.2% 12.9% 17.1% 16.7% 15.4% 11.6% 7.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Lauren Yapp 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 3.1% 2.5% 4.8% 6.6% 11.9% 20.8% 32.0% 15.0%
Taylor Wood 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 2.8% 6.0% 13.8% 72.6%
Christopher Haseler 1.1% 1.0% 2.6% 3.1% 5.1% 7.2% 10.6% 14.6% 21.9% 25.6% 7.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.