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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+6.06vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+3.12vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+3.43vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.07+1.26vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+1.23vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.48+4.76vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.83+2.27vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38-3.14vs Predicted
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9Auburn University0.12+2.92vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.12-2.00vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19+0.74vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.17-4.20vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-1.97vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.19-5.42vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.27-1.56vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.09-2.09vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.01-1.88vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-0.46-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06University of South Florida1.606.5%1st Place
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5.12Jacksonville University2.1012.7%1st Place
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6.43Florida State University1.699.3%1st Place
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5.26College of Charleston2.0712.8%1st Place
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6.23Jacksonville University1.559.8%1st Place
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10.76Jacksonville University0.482.7%1st Place
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9.27University of Miami0.834.0%1st Place
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4.86College of Charleston2.3815.2%1st Place
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11.92Auburn University0.121.9%1st Place
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8.0North Carolina State University1.125.2%1st Place
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11.74The Citadel0.192.5%1st Place
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7.8Eckerd College1.176.5%1st Place
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11.03Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.4%1st Place
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8.58University of South Florida1.194.9%1st Place
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13.44Embry-Riddle University-0.271.4%1st Place
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13.91Rollins College0.090.9%1st Place
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15.12Duke University-1.010.5%1st Place
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14.48University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Long | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 35.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.