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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.24+0.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73-0.82vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.87+1.28vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.38+1.03vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+2.79vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+3.31vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.19-1.68vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.97-4.04vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.51-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee0.13-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida3.240.3%1st Place
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2.18College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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5.28Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.03North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.79Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.32Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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7.54Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Tennessee0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 12.6% | 16.8% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 26.1% | 24.4% | 21.2% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 38.1% | 28.7% | 18.1% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Yapp | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 33.9% | 15.0% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 13.2% | 71.9% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Laura Hernandez | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Haseler | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 24.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.