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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.24+1.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+0.15vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+0.84vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.87+1.40vs Predicted
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5Duke University1.19+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97-0.86vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.88-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee0.13-0.23vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.38-3.80vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.06-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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2.15College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.84Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.4Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.65Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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9.03Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.880.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Tennessee0.130.0%1st Place
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6.2North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.72Clemson University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Monllor | 22.5% | 25.2% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 41.2% | 27.2% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 12.2% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Laura Hernandez | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Yapp | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 35.5% |
| Camryn Darland | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Haseler | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 23.3% | 26.8% |
| David Rogers | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Jeffery Kaisner | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 21.7% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.