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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+7.17vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+7.73vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+6.51vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.73vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+3.50vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21+0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.04vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+1.39vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.64vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-1.80vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.47vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.14-6.13vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.37vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.41vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.2Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.87Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.63Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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15.33Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 9.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Maeve White | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 7.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.