← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+4.76vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.62vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.06+6.48vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.10+1.29vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.38+2.91vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.21+2.63vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.92+2.80vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.91vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.42-1.29vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.75+0.77vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College3.14-1.90vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.55vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.91-3.25vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.75-3.72vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.61-3.90vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.45vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University1.30-1.43vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont2.99-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.76Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.48Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
-
5.29Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.91Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.63Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.8Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.71Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.77Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.1Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
6.45University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
9.75Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
10.28Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
11.1Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
15.57Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.33University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Liana Folger | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 52.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.