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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+6.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+4.84vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.91vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+2.27vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.41vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+2.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.01vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.31vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.15vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.79vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.21-6.49vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.62vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-8.94vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.17Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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5.54Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.91Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.06Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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15.35Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Maeve White | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Liana Folger | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.