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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.34vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+7.83vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.54vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.20vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.86vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+3.12vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-1.09vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-1.37vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-2.70vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-3.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.01vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.67vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.32vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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5.54Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.12Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.3Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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9.71Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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15.34Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Liana Folger | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Maeve White | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.