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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.50vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.22vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.95vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75+3.54vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.90vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.17vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-1.75vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.30+2.33vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.76vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-8.91vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-6.09vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.60vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.41Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.9Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.16Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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15.33Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.91Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 50.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.