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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+6.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.35vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.93vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+0.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.10vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.30vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-1.76vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-2.03vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.76vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.30-0.47vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-6.27vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.85Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.7Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.24Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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15.53Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.2% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Maeve White | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 8.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 50.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.