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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+10.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+7.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.84vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+1.77vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75+3.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+1.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.61vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.31vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.55vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-3.88vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.32vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-3.96vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-7.36vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.14-7.91vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.84Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.09Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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15.3Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liana Folger | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.