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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+6.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+2.94vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.12+5.02vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+1.23vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+1.22vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.17+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+1.68vs Predicted
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8Auburn University0.12+3.62vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-2.72vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.07-4.85vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.83-1.67vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-0.89vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.09+0.79vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.19-2.26vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-4.12vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.27-2.60vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.46-2.36vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.01-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06University of South Florida1.607.6%1st Place
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4.94College of Charleston2.3814.9%1st Place
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8.02North Carolina State University1.125.2%1st Place
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5.23Jacksonville University2.1011.8%1st Place
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6.22Jacksonville University1.5510.2%1st Place
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7.84Eckerd College1.176.2%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida1.194.7%1st Place
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11.62Auburn University0.122.9%1st Place
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6.28Florida State University1.699.4%1st Place
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5.15College of Charleston2.0712.3%1st Place
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9.33University of Miami0.834.0%1st Place
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11.11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.6%1st Place
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13.79Rollins College0.091.2%1st Place
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11.74The Citadel0.191.8%1st Place
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10.88Jacksonville University0.482.4%1st Place
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13.4Embry-Riddle University-0.271.4%1st Place
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14.64University of Central Florida-0.460.7%1st Place
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15.07Duke University-1.010.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Peter Foley | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Long | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 15.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Mason Howell | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 24.8% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.