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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+7.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.37vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+7.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.53vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+5.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.14vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+1.62vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.85vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91+0.14vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.57vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.14vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.30+2.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.29vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-3.94vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-5.32vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.30vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.06-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.06Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.85Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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15.29Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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10.7Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Liana Folger | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 50.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.