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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.11vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+7.20vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+4.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+5.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.70vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.72+5.20vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.26vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.50+0.17vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05+1.29vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.73vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.51vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.23+3.16vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-5.26vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-6.16vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-1.80vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-5.38vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-11.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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12.2Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.29Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.49Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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16.16Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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14.2Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 6.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Charlotte List | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 59.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 24.1% | 18.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 4.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.