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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+8.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.23vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+8.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+4.00vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.05+5.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+1.36vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-1.09vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+0.89vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.58-0.16vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.50-0.52vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-4.57vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.30-3.18vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.33vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.23+0.32vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-4.62vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.0Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.83Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.48Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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16.32Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.38Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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13.96Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Marly Isler | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte List | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 15.8% | 59.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 8.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.