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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+10.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+3.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.05+3.99vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+0.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.30+0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.81vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.52vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-0.87vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.35vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-6.17vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.50-6.74vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.23-0.67vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.99Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.48Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.13Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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16.33Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.99Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Amina Brown | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 14.2% | 60.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 25.6% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.