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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+7.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+6.99vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+4.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+2.51vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.50+3.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23+2.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-3.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.35vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-0.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.05-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-5.90vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.23vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.64vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-3.72vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-7.80vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.23-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.11Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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5.68Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.23Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.77Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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16.12Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 3.5% |
| Amina Brown | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 18.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 7.9% |
| Charlotte List | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.