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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.54+8.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+5.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.50+4.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.02vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+2.80vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+2.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23+1.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05+1.20vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.46vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.66vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-1.00vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-7.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.30-6.07vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-2.88vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.23-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.2Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.34Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.0Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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14.12Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.1Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 24.8% | 18.9% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.