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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.02vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+7.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.50+6.30vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+4.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+2.51vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+6.19vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23+2.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.76-1.09vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.65vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.27vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.15+0.87vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-5.39vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.23+1.24vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-7.14vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.05-5.96vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.19Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.91Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.87Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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16.24Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.04Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Marly Isler | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 18.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 58.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.