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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+7.34vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+4.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+2.54vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.17+2.07vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.12+4.96vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.07-2.81vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19+3.14vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.83-0.31vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.55-4.18vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-0.91vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-1.66vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.27-0.49vs Predicted
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15Duke University-1.01+0.47vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.26-8.06vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.46-2.07vs Predicted
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18Rollins College0.41-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34North Carolina State University1.125.4%1st Place
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6.58Florida State University1.698.6%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston2.3814.7%1st Place
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5.29Jacksonville University2.1013.8%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida1.607.2%1st Place
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8.07Eckerd College1.176.1%1st Place
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11.96Auburn University0.121.8%1st Place
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5.19College of Charleston2.0712.3%1st Place
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12.14The Citadel0.192.2%1st Place
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9.69University of Miami0.833.7%1st Place
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6.82Jacksonville University1.557.7%1st Place
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11.09Jacksonville University0.482.7%1st Place
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11.34Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.4%1st Place
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13.51Embry-Riddle University-0.271.4%1st Place
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15.47Duke University-1.010.5%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida1.265.9%1st Place
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14.93University of Central Florida-0.460.6%1st Place
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10.03Rollins College0.413.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Foley | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Nathan Long | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Matthew King | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Mason Howell | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 13.6% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 37.9% |
| Efe Guder | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 28.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.