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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+6.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+7.13vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+4.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+3.36vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+2.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-1.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.41vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72+2.14vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.50-2.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-3.70vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.20vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-4.43vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.98-5.10vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.23-0.79vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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12.14Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.87Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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10.57Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.9Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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16.21Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.71Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 6.9% |
| Holly Tullo | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 13.8% | 60.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 22.2% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.