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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+6.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.33+7.71vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+5.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+3.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+2.49vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23+2.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.05+2.51vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-3.62vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.58vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.54-3.10vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.50-4.41vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72-2.42vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.98-4.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-9.00vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-3.02vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.23-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.51Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.59Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.85Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.98Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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15.99Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Marly Isler | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Holly Tullo | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 24.6% | 18.2% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.