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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.75vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.85vs Predicted
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3Fordham University4.26+2.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+3.63vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.36vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.20vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.28+5.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.96vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.87vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.35+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo2.44-1.29vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-4.00vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.39-3.03vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute2.29-3.54vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.59-2.29vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.21-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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5.12Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.36SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.42Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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12.42Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.0Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.46Webb Institute2.290.0%1st Place
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14.71Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.5Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% |
| Cody Stansky | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% |
| Domenic Re | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 34.3% |
| Austin Powers | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.