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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.92vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.63vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28+9.62vs Predicted
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4Fordham University4.26+1.01vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.84+5.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.14vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82-0.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.27vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.93vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo2.44+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.64vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-5.39vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute2.29-1.91vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.35-2.95vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.59-1.29vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia2.39-4.86vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.21-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.63SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.62Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.01Fordham University4.260.2%1st Place
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10.14Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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11.96University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.09Webb Institute2.290.0%1st Place
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12.05Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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14.71Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.47Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.2% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Veronica Maccari | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Olin Paine | 15.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Domenic Re | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 34.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Austin Powers | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.