← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.36+3.87vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University4.26+3.18vs Predicted
-
3Washington College2.84+7.52vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.72vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.15vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.99vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.08vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University3.41-0.11vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University2.21+3.66vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University2.28+2.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Buffalo2.44+0.95vs Predicted
-
12Villanova University1.59+2.89vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-4.44vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia2.39-2.35vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.35-2.94vs Predicted
-
16Webb Institute2.29-3.64vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.82-10.42vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.05-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.87Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
5.18Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
10.52Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
6.72U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
8.99University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.89George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
12.66Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
12.66Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
-
11.95University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
14.89Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.65University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
12.06Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.36Webb Institute2.290.0%1st Place
-
6.58Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
9.23SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 12.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Mary Hall | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Austin Powers | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 10.3% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Domenic Re | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 38.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Cody Stansky | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.