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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+5.74vs Predicted
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2Auburn University0.12+10.15vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+4.41vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+1.42vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.07+0.30vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.55+0.52vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.38-2.07vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.17-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.26-1.05vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+1.37vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.12-2.63vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-2.09vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.83-3.42vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-2.72vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-0.07vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.27-2.31vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.19-4.99vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.01-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Florida State University1.697.6%1st Place
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12.15Auburn University0.121.7%1st Place
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7.41University of South Florida1.606.7%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University2.1013.8%1st Place
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5.3College of Charleston2.0713.3%1st Place
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6.52Jacksonville University1.558.9%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston2.3813.8%1st Place
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7.98Eckerd College1.175.8%1st Place
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7.95University of South Florida1.265.3%1st Place
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11.37Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.9%1st Place
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8.37North Carolina State University1.125.0%1st Place
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9.91Rollins College0.413.8%1st Place
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9.58University of Miami0.834.0%1st Place
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11.28Jacksonville University0.482.9%1st Place
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14.93University of Central Florida-0.460.8%1st Place
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13.69Embry-Riddle University-0.271.5%1st Place
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12.01The Citadel0.192.1%1st Place
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15.45Duke University-1.010.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Long | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 28.6% |
| Mason Howell | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 14.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.