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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2George Washington University3.10+5.30vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.82vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+3.75vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.24vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-2.54vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.51-3.07vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.56+2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.99+0.43vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-4.96vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-3.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.82vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-5.02vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.24-5.47vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-2.05vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.15-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3George Washington University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.82SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.75Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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5.46Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.94Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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7.04Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.45Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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9.98Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.53Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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14.03Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 13.6% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Rory Mess | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 19.8% | 44.4% |
| David Alldian | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 22.0% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.