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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+4.86vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+4.80vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+2.44vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.33vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+2.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.81vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.55vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.53vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.56+1.81vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.99-0.46vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.45-3.26vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.24-3.34vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-7.23vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.10-8.58vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-2.11vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.15-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.8Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.44Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.94SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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12.81Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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9.74Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.66Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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7.77Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.42George Washington University3.100.1%1st Place
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14.89University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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14.02Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Michael Popp | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Casey Brown | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 12.8% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Rory Mess | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 18.8% | 44.4% |
| David Alldian | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.