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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+4.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.42vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.56+8.76vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+1.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.50vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.10-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.99+2.26vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-2.10vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-4.23vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.95vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.45-3.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-7.73vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.54-5.35vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.24-5.40vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-2.08vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.15-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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12.76Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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7.4George Washington University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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7.9Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.05SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.77Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.65Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.6Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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13.98Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Casey Brown | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 13.4% |
| Alex Post | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Michael Popp | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Rory Mess | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 44.9% |
| David Alldian | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.