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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.74vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+5.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.35vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.45+3.69vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67-1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.58vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.10-1.60vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-2.84vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.51-5.03vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.56+0.84vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.24-2.45vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-6.07vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.99-3.37vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.15-2.09vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.54-7.31vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo0.75-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.69Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.69Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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7.4George Washington University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.84Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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10.55Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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7.93Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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13.91Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Popp | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Augie Dale | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Alex Post | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Casey Brown | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 13.4% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
| David Alldian | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 22.1% | 26.9% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Rory Mess | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.