← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.62vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.84vs Predicted
-
33.51+3.63vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University3.25+3.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.79vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.39vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.54+3.14vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University1.15+6.62vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.02vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.67-3.90vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute1.56+2.62vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.13vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.79-4.00vs Predicted
-
14Washington College1.81-1.54vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University3.02-6.79vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University2.24-4.64vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia1.99-4.71vs Predicted
-
18University of Buffalo0.75-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.62SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
6.633.510.1%1st Place
-
7.32Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.79University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
-
4.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.14Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
14.62Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
6.1Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
13.62Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
-
6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.0George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
12.46Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
-
8.21Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
11.36Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
-
12.29University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
-
15.54University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Post | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| David Alldian | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 26.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Augie Dale | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 5.3% |
| Rory Mess | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.