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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.20+5.99vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+4.97vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+4.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.36vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.46vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.81+3.25vs Predicted
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103.51-3.92vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.44vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.56+0.82vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-3.25vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-5.99vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.15-1.08vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.99-4.45vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.03SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.73George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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12.25Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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6.083.510.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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12.82Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.01Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.92Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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14.9University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel LOCHNER | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Popp | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Alex Post | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Casey Brown | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 12.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| David Alldian | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 26.7% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Rory Mess | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.