Race 1A

no-ringer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Meade 27.8% 24.4% 18.2% 12.3% 7.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christina Wettersten 4.6% 4.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.9% 9.9% 11.2% 13.1% 11.3% 11.0% 7.4% 2.0%
Alexandra Swanson 14.5% 13.5% 13.6% 14.6% 12.6% 11.9% 8.6% 6.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Aaron Klein 9.2% 11.7% 11.6% 13.5% 13.7% 10.6% 10.7% 8.6% 6.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 9.9% 10.0% 13.0% 12.6% 10.7% 13.3% 11.2% 7.1% 6.1% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Evan Gregory 11.7% 12.7% 11.8% 13.6% 11.4% 13.8% 9.1% 6.9% 5.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.3%
Carl Noble 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.2% 6.3% 10.7% 13.6% 20.2% 28.9%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 11.8% 10.4% 12.4% 10.2% 12.7% 12.3% 10.4% 9.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Stefanie Anderson 2.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.7% 5.4% 6.2% 9.6% 12.1% 13.1% 15.4% 15.2% 12.2%
Jade Forsberg 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 4.6% 5.5% 6.2% 10.4% 13.0% 13.1% 14.3% 13.8% 8.1%
Sarah Hyman 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 4.8% 4.9% 6.8% 8.2% 14.3% 15.9% 17.6% 19.1%
Martin Hooker 1.1% 2.3% 1.4% 3.0% 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 7.4% 11.8% 14.7% 20.6% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.