Race 2A

no-ringer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Meade 29.3% 23.7% 17.5% 13.0% 7.1% 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 8.5% 11.8% 11.5% 12.0% 14.8% 11.2% 10.4% 10.0% 5.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Aaron Klein 11.1% 10.4% 12.0% 11.1% 10.9% 13.7% 12.7% 9.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 9.2% 10.6% 11.7% 13.8% 12.5% 12.3% 11.7% 6.6% 6.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.6%
Evan Gregory 12.2% 11.4% 12.3% 12.5% 14.2% 12.2% 9.0% 6.9% 5.0% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Sarah Hyman 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 5.3% 6.5% 10.0% 11.0% 15.8% 20.2% 16.7%
Alexandra Swanson 14.6% 15.6% 13.6% 13.8% 12.0% 11.1% 7.7% 6.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Christina Wettersten 5.6% 5.5% 7.0% 6.8% 8.6% 10.1% 12.1% 13.0% 12.1% 10.6% 5.8% 2.8%
Jade Forsberg 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 6.3% 6.4% 7.9% 10.0% 12.5% 15.0% 14.9% 12.3% 6.4%
Stefanie Anderson 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 3.4% 4.2% 5.9% 7.6% 10.5% 14.2% 17.1% 14.6% 12.8%
Carl Noble 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 6.5% 10.5% 14.3% 22.1% 30.5%
Martin Hooker 1.2% 2.2% 2.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 5.6% 7.3% 11.4% 14.3% 19.4% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.