Race 3A

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lucas Nykamp 9.4% 9.3% 11.1% 9.7% 10.5% 9.7% 10.4% 8.5% 9.1% 6.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Nicholas Chesemore 7.2% 7.0% 7.1% 7.1% 8.8% 9.8% 9.5% 9.5% 10.2% 10.4% 8.3% 4.1% 0.7%
Lorenzo Puertas 22.9% 19.9% 16.0% 12.5% 10.0% 7.1% 5.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Mather 12.1% 12.2% 11.8% 12.0% 11.0% 10.2% 9.1% 8.8% 5.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 7.0% 7.2% 9.3% 9.1% 8.9% 9.8% 9.9% 9.7% 10.1% 9.2% 6.6% 2.7% 0.4%
Andrew Wiand 10.7% 10.3% 10.7% 11.2% 11.1% 10.3% 10.3% 9.3% 7.8% 4.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Quinn Kaiser 11.2% 12.3% 11.4% 11.7% 10.9% 10.5% 9.9% 8.2% 7.3% 3.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Wyatt Tait 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 9.6% 9.9% 9.6% 10.2% 10.5% 9.2% 9.8% 6.3% 2.7% 0.6%
Nigel Yu 5.1% 5.5% 5.6% 6.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.9% 10.4% 11.9% 12.2% 11.1% 5.5% 1.2%
Brian Zettlemoyer 3.3% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 6.1% 7.6% 9.2% 10.6% 16.0% 14.8% 9.7% 2.4%
Nathaniel Bacheller 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 4.5% 8.8% 24.6% 49.9%
Hayden Johansen 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 5.2% 6.0% 9.5% 13.2% 21.2% 18.6% 7.2%
Patrick Gardiner 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 4.1% 3.8% 5.5% 10.8% 28.7% 37.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.