← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.33+4.66vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+8.79vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University3.92+4.16vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.64+4.41vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University2.34+7.52vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida4.10+0.61vs Predicted
-
7Washington College4.25-0.90vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.59+0.27vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.68vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.54-1.31vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-2.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas2.50+0.01vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy4.34-7.36vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College3.24-4.48vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin4.10-8.33vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University3.92-9.84vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University2.14-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.66Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
-
7.16Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.41College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
12.52Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
-
6.61University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
-
6.1Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
-
6.32SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
8.69Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
-
8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
-
12.01University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
-
5.64U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
9.52Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
6.67University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.16Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
13.14Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Furnary | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Warren | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.