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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.38+6.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.52+4.61vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+4.15vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.78+1.98vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+1.89vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.81+3.22vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.90-1.06vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-2.21vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.10-3.78vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.33-6.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.68-5.44vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-2.69vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.25-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.22Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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4.75St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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7.41University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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8.79Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.22Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.32Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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15.82Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 0.2% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 0.2% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sara Burke | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 53.1% | 6.0% |
| Emily Bick | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 4.6% | 92.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.